Tactics & Positioning

Winners in Pro Padel: Decoding Gender and Set Trends

New research tracks 4,000 winners across five WPT seasons to reveal how gender and set outcomes shape elite padel play.

Reading as PlayerOne story · two ways to read it
▲ Player edition — what to try on court

Winning pairs in professional padel hit more outright winners per set than losing pairs — not occasionally, but consistently across five seasons of World Padel Tour data — and building your own ability to manufacture those shots is one of the highest-leverage changes you can make to your game.

A winner in padel is a shot that ends the point outright: the ball lands where your opponents simply cannot reach it. In a sport where the glass back walls and side screens — the cristales — keep almost every ball in play, clean winners are genuinely hard to come by. That scarcity is precisely what makes them so valuable. Research tracking five full World Padel Tour seasons found that winning pairs generated meaningfully more winners per set than losing pairs — a gap consistent enough to be a real performance signal, not a fluke.

The pattern holds across gender too, though with an interesting nuance. Men's professional matches tend to feature more winners overall than women's — a gap researchers tracked consistently from 2018 to 2022, with localised exceptions in certain seasons and in specific set contexts. Women's professional padel is not less attacking; it tends to involve a longer point-construction phase and a different risk-reward calculation before committing to the winner attempt. That's worth sitting with as a coaching insight: the number of winners in a set is partly shaped by the competitive context and partly by which pair is ahead.

What does this mean for you on court? Two things. First, winners at the professional level are not lucky strikes — they are the endpoint of a constructed sequence. The pair that controls the net, forces opponents into defensive positions, and then exploits the gap is the pair that generates winners. You won't hit more of them simply by swinging harder; you'll hit them by being in the right court position and reading the geometry before the ball arrives. Second, if you're in a losing set, the research suggests your team is likely hitting fewer winners than your opponents — which means the question to ask yourself mid-match isn't only "how do I stop making errors?" but also "where is my pair's next winner coming from?"

The exceptions in the data deserve an honest mention. The gender gap in winners disappeared for losing pairs in the third set, and across both genders during 2020 and 2021. Third sets are physically and mentally different — fatigue and pressure shift what's possible — and the disrupted competitive calendar of those two years probably explains the seasonal blip. These are localised exceptions to an otherwise consistent finding, not evidence that winners are random. They're worth knowing because they tell you that match state and fatigue matter: your winner opportunities shift as a set progresses.

One important caveat up front: this research tells you what professional players do, not definitively why more winners cause wins. There's more on that below.


By the numbers
4048Total winners analyzed
2268Men's winners analyzed
1780Women's winners analyzed
2024Total sets analyzed
1134Men's sets analyzed
890Women's sets analyzed
20-24Predicted men's winning pairs winners/set (2023-2027)
16-20Predicted men's losing pairs winners/set (2023-2027)
18-21Predicted women's winning pairs winners/set (2023-2027)
14-18Predicted women's losing pairs winners/set (2023-2027)

On court: try this

1. The glass-setup winner from the back

You're both at the back, opponents at the net. Your partner plays a deep defensive lob — a high ball that lands near the back glass (cristal). The opponents are forced to retreat or let the ball bounce into the glass. Now you have a half-second window: as the ball comes off the glass at a lower trajectory, step in and drive a cross-court winner aimed at the gap between the net player and the sideline screen. The glass created the time; the cross-court angle creates the winner. This is the geometry of padel — the walls aren't obstacles, they're weapons.

2. The flat volley through the middle at the net

Your pair has moved to the net after a good attacking lob that pushed opponents back. They return a slower, higher ball — a floater. Don't just block it back: read the gap between the two defenders and punch a flat, low volley through the middle. The centre gap in padel is almost always wider than it looks, and a winner through the middle is harder to anticipate than one aimed at the line. Aim low, aim direct, keep the swing compact.

Coach's tip: The middle volley winner works best when your pair is positioned side-by-side at the net — not staggered. If one of you is a metre behind the other, the middle gap closes on your side, not theirs.

3. The bandeja as a winner setup

When you're at the net and a lob goes over your head, the bandeja — a flat, slightly cut overhead that lets you stay near the net rather than scrambling back — is your reset shot. Hit it deep to the side screen. Your opponents are now defending from the back again; your pair holds the net. On the next short ball, one of you attacks the open court with a winner attempt. The bandeja itself is not the winner; it's the shot that creates the next winner. Learning to use it as a setup tool, not just a survival move, is what separates net-dominant pairs from pairs who get pushed back on every overhead.


Drills to practise

  1. Winner count — match tracking drill. In your next practice match, have someone on the sideline count only winners (shots that end the point outright, no error counted). Track per set. Knowing the number makes you conscious of when you're building toward a winner versus just keeping the ball in play. Over time, watch the count in your winning sets pull ahead of your losing sets — that feedback loop is the drill.
  1. Glass feeder drill (with a partner). Partner feeds a slow lob into the back corner glass. You let it bounce off the glass and practise hitting a controlled, low cross-court drive into the target zone near the opposite sideline. Focus: contact point just after the ball drops from its peak, racket face slightly closed. You're improving when you can put 7 out of 10 into the target zone without errors, consistently, not just when the feed is perfect.
  1. Net pressure, 3-shot limit (2v2). One pair starts at the net, one pair at the back. The net pair must attempt a winner within their first three volleys after the rally starts. If no winner in three touches, the point resets. This forces you to read the geometry and commit to a decision rather than endlessly recycling balls. Rotate after 10 points. You'll quickly discover which net positions give you winner options and which leave you with nowhere to go.
  1. Bandeja to attack sequence drill. Player A feeds a lob over Player B's head at the net. B plays a bandeja deep to the corner. A feeds a shorter ball immediately. B attacks the open court. Repeat 10 times on each side. You're improving when the bandeja consistently lands deep — past the service line — and your following attack is controlled and deliberate rather than rushed and wild.

Common mistakes

    1. Going for the winner too early. Attempting a winner from a neutral or defensive position — when your opponents are at the net and you're behind the service line — is a low-percentage gamble. Winners come at the end of the construction sequence, not the start. Build the situation first.
    1. Aiming too close to the line. Trying to paint the sideline dramatically reduces your margin for error. Aim 40–50 cm inside: the opponent still can't reach it, and you'll make it far more often. Width beats precision at most levels.
    1. Treating the glass as a hazard rather than a tool. Many club players focus on surviving the back glass rather than exploiting it. A ball placed deliberately into the side screen from a short-angle drive creates awkward bounces opponents can't read — that's a winner opportunity you're leaving on the court.
    1. Both players attacking simultaneously. When one of you goes for a winner, your partner should be balanced and positioned — not also lunging at a ball. Uncoordinated aggression leaves your court wide open on the reply and turns a near-winner into a clear losing point.

Take it to your next match

Pick one moment per set when your pair controls the net and consciously look for the middle-gap volley winner. Don't force it on every ball — just stay alert to when the geometry is there and commit fully when it is. And after the match, ask yourself: how many winners did we hit? If you can't answer, start counting next time. The pairs at the top of the game are generating them deliberately — and awareness of your own number is the first step toward doing the same.

◆ Coach edition — how to teach it

Winners — clean, outright-winning shots that don't allow the opponent a genuine reply — sit at the sharp end of a padel rally. They are not accidents. They are the product of a pattern: the attacking pair constructs the point, forces a defensive ball, and then converts. This study tracked winners across five seasons of World Padel Tour competition in both men's and women's circuits, and the findings cut through some persistent coaching assumptions about how the elite game actually plays out.

The headline result is straightforward: male professional pairs hit more winners than female professional pairs, and winning pairs in any given set hit more winners than losing ones. Both findings held up consistently across the five seasons studied, with a small number of localised exceptions — notably during 2020 and 2021, and among losing pairs in the third set. The exceptions matter, so don't treat this as an absolute law, but the overall pattern is robust.

What does this mean at the coaching table? For coaches working with advanced female players: the women's game at the top level is not simply a slower version of the men's game with fewer winners bolted on. The margin between winning and losing pairs in women's padel is real, and training that ignores outright winner production is leaving points on the table. If your female players are not practising the offensive positions, the timing, and the decisive shot execution that create winners, they are rehearsing the losing side of that gap.

Perhaps more useful for session design: winners separate winning from losing pairs within each sex more sharply than the sex difference itself. This means winner production is a trainable, matchplay-relevant skill — not something only elite males possess. A coach at any level of women's or men's padel can and should target it deliberately.

The research also suggests this pattern is stable. Predictions for coming seasons put the winner-per-set count in a consistent range rather than trending sharply upward or downward. What you coach now translates directly to the game your players will play for the foreseeable future.

The practical implication: winner opportunities need specific, rehearsed attention in your sessions — not just emergence from open rally practice. The attack-construction phase (pushing opponents back, forcing a high or short defensive ball) must connect visibly to the winner-execution phase. Players who can construct but not convert are leaving the most important part of the sequence unfinished.


By the numbers
4048Total winners analyzed
2268Men's winners analyzed
1780Women's winners analyzed
2024Total sets analyzed
1134Men's sets analyzed
890Women's sets analyzed
20-24Predicted men's winning pairs winners/set (2023-2027)
16-20Predicted men's losing pairs winners/set (2023-2027)
18-21Predicted women's winning pairs winners/set (2023-2027)
14-18Predicted women's losing pairs winners/set (2023-2027)

Coaching cues & teaching points

Winners don't happen at random. They come from a sequence: position → pressure → creation → execution. Each step has distinct cues.

Positioning and construction

    1. "Get to the net and stay there" — winner opportunities collapse when the attacking pair drops to mid-court under pressure. Hold the net position aggressively.

    2. "Push them to the glass" — a deep, heavy lob or a low drive aimed at the back-corner glass forces a defensive return that creates the winner opportunity.

    3. "Read the high ball early" — winners off bandeja or víbora require early positioning behind the ball. Identify the incoming lob as it rises, not as it peaks.


Shot execution
    1. "Commit to the line" — winners down the sideline require full racket commitment. Half-hearted swings produce mid-court balls opponents dig up.

    2. "Contact out front, snap at the wrist" — for a víbora, contact ahead of the body with a late wrist snap generates the lateral kick that puts the ball away.

    3. "Low and fast to the feet" — the most reliable winner against opponents at the net is a chiquita or flat drive aimed below knee height. Cue the trajectory, not just the pace.


The winner is the last thing that happens — coach the three shots before it at least as much as the shot itself.


Drill & session plan

1. Winner Construction Feed (isolated rehearsal)
Setup: Coach feeds a high, central lob. Pair at the net takes the bandeja or víbora and aims at a marked target zone — deep corner or sideline.
Focus: Shot selection and contact point. No rallying — repetition of the execution phase only.
Move on when: Players land 6 of 10 feeds in the target zone with controlled pace.

2. 3-Ball Construction Sequence (cooperative)
Setup: Feeder plays a drive from the baseline. The net pair plays a soft bandeja deep, opponent returns a lob, pair executes the winner. Three-ball sequence repeated.
Focus: Identifying the lob early and adjusting foot position before the ball peaks.
Move on when: The sequence runs fluidly — no scrambled or late contacts on the third ball.

3. One Opportunity Drill (pressured)
Setup: Live four-player point starts with one pair attacking and opponents defending from the glass. Coach places one short ball — the designated winner opportunity. The attacking pair must take it; playing around it is not allowed.
Focus: Decision-making under mild pressure. Can they recognise the opportunity and commit?
Move on when: Pair converts at a consistent rate over a run of 10 points.

4. Live Set with Winner Count (game)
Setup: Normal set play. Coach records winners for both pairs only.
Focus: Pairs receive only their winner count as post-game feedback. Creates self-monitoring of the stat.
Move on when: Players voluntarily reference "where were my winner chances?" in the debrief without prompting.


Common student errors & corrections

    1. Attempting the winner too early — from a neutral or defensive ball rather than a genuine opportunity.
Cause: Not distinguishing an attackable ball from a true winner ball. Fix: Use the One Opportunity Drill — only the designated ball can be put away. All others must be redirected, not smashed.
    1. Winner goes wide or into the net due to late contact.
Cause: Reading the lob late; waiting at the net rather than moving behind it. Fix: Cue "move before the peak" — feet set behind the contact point before the ball starts descending. Reintroduce the Winner Construction Feed with a verbal call from the coach at the moment of lob contact.
    1. Víbora or bandeja winner lacks pace — opponents reach it.
Cause: Arm-only swing with no hip and shoulder rotation contributing. Fix: Shadow-drill the full kinetic chain: hip turn, shoulder rotation, then arm. Use the cue "turn the door" — imagine rotating a door on its hinge, hips leading, arm following.
    1. Player aims into the opponent's body rather than a target.
Cause: No target focus — the player is "hitting hard" rather than "hitting there." Fix: Place a cone in the target zone. Require a named target call before each execution attempt in the 3-Ball Construction Sequence.

Adapting for levels

Beginner
Don't introduce winner training as its own topic yet. The prerequisite is consistent net position. At this stage, focus entirely on getting to the net and making the opponent play from the glass. Winners will emerge as a byproduct of better positioning. If you reference the concept at all, frame it simply: some balls you can put away — recognise them and take them rather than patting them back.

Intermediate
This is where the research's coaching payoff is highest. Players at this level often have the shot mechanics but haven't systematised when and where to use them. Run the 3-Ball Construction Sequence and One Opportunity Drill regularly. For female intermediate players especially, winner production is an area where deliberate practice creates fast competitive gains — the gap between winning and losing pairs is real and coaches can directly address it. Emphasise converting the víbora and bandeja rather than just executing them safely.

Advanced
Shift the focus toward consistency under pressure and reading the opponent's recovery position before committing to shot type. Introduce disguise: identical preparation for bandeja and winner, with the decision delayed as late as possible. Use the Live Set with Winner Count as a self-monitoring tool. For this group, the predicted winner-per-set ranges (roughly 20–24 for men's winning pairs, 18–21 for women's winning pairs) give a concrete professional benchmark your players can reference in match analysis sessions — making the numbers from the study directly actionable in their own performance review.

Padel Profe© 2026 · Spiegamelo